Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 0.001042 0.001187 0.001335 0.001494 0.001661 0.001831 0.002016
2025-06-22 0.000800 0.001006 0.001222 0.001463 0.001723 0.001993 0.002293
2025-06-29 0.000639 0.000889 0.001161 0.001473 0.001817 0.002181 0.002592
2025-07-06 0.000566 0.000859 0.001187 0.001573 0.002005 0.002467 0.002993
2025-07-13 0.000434 0.000745 0.001109 0.001548 0.002048 0.002592 0.003217
2025-07-20 0.000309 0.000624 0.001010 0.001490 0.002049 0.002665 0.003380
2025-07-27 0.000251 0.000579 0.000998 0.001530 0.002157 0.002854 0.003669
2025-08-03 0.000182 0.000507 0.000946 0.001516 0.002200 0.002967 0.003872
2025-08-10 0.000103 0.000404 0.000844 0.001435 0.002159 0.002981 0.003959
2025-08-17 0.000057 0.000339 0.000784 0.001403 0.002171 0.003053 0.004109
2025-08-24 0.000017 0.000255 0.000690 0.001319 0.002118 0.003046 0.004167
2025-08-31 0.000003 0.000213 0.000650 0.001303 0.002144 0.003129 0.004325
2025-09-07 NaN 0.000189 0.000648 0.001355 0.002276 0.003363 0.004688
2025-09-14 NaN 0.000134 0.000588 0.001325 0.002308 0.003480 0.004920
2025-09-21 NaN 0.000101 0.000558 0.001335 0.002389 0.003657 0.005223
2025-09-28 NaN 0.000099 0.000587 0.001431 0.002581 0.003967 0.005682
2025-10-05 NaN 0.000063 0.000537 0.001407 0.002616 0.004089 0.005921
2025-10-12 NaN 0.000029 0.000470 0.001352 0.002608 0.004156 0.006094
2025-10-19 NaN 0.000019 0.000464 0.001390 0.002722 0.004370 0.006440
2025-10-26 NaN 0.000006 0.000428 0.001377 0.002766 0.004498 0.006682
2025-11-02 NaN NaN 0.000357 0.001300 0.002719 0.004511 0.006787
2025-11-09 NaN NaN 0.000317 0.001268 0.002733 0.004598 0.006977
2025-11-16 NaN NaN 0.000254 0.001189 0.002676 0.004593 0.007057